March 29, 2023


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Stock futures rise to start the week as traders await midterm elections and inflation report

Stock futures rise to start the week as traders await midterm elections and inflation report

US stock futures rose on Monday as a busy week began, with the midterm elections for Congress and key inflation data on deck over the next few days.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures traded up 142 points, or 0.4%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively.

Those gains came even with Apple down 1% after the tech company said iPhone production has been temporarily reduced Due to Covid-19 restrictions in China.

Tuesday’s midterm elections will determine which party will dominate Congress, and influence the direction of future spending. Democrats currently control the House of Representatives, and have a majority in the Senate.

“[We] I think US stock investors will take a bullish hint from the historical playbook that stocks tend to have gains above trend by 13-14% on an average/median basis in years when there was a Democratic president, a split or a Congress My Republican,” RBC’s Laurie Calvasina wrote in a note on Monday.

“In other words, the conventional wisdom that the stock market likes political deadlock is supported by historical data in this case,” Calvasina wrote.

On the economic front, investors are expecting Thursday’s CPI report to shed more light on the Federal Reserve’s efforts to crush inflation. A hot inflation report could signal to investors that a shift from higher interest rates for a longer period may be farther than expected.

“[In] In order for the stock and bond markets to match inflation performance after the peak indicated in the table, inflation must continue to decline – and at a faster pace than we have seen so far. Until the Fed signals the “pivot” approaching, things may still be difficult,” Byrd’s Ross Mayfield wrote in a recent note.

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Wall Street exited a strong session, with the Dow Jones rising 400 points, or 1.3%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also rose over 1% each. However, the major averages closed the week with losses. The Dow ended a four-week winning streak on interest rate hike concerns.

Elsewhere, several companies are expected to announce on Monday including Palantir . techniquesAnd the Activision BlizzardAnd the Lift And the Take-Two Interactive. interactive. Corporate earnings season ends with the majority of companies in the S&P 500 reporting their results.