April 15, 2024

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Weekend Box Office Forecast: KUNG FU PANDA 4'S DEBUT WILL CHALLENGE DUNE: PART 2'S FRAMEWORK

Weekend Box Office Forecast: KUNG FU PANDA 4'S DEBUT WILL CHALLENGE DUNE: PART 2'S FRAMEWORK

© 2024 DreamWorks Animation LLC All rights reserved.

March's box office rebound continues this weekend with a family option for counter-programming to match the film's sophomore frame Sand Dunes: Part TwoPlay the hack sequel.

Kung Fu Panda 4

worldwide

March 8, 2024 (widely)

Opening weekend range: $44 million-$54 million

Weekend pros:

  • As the first high-profile animated and family release to hit theaters since December Immigration And WonkaFamilies are expected to move to… Kung Fu Panda 4 In healthy numbers. Pre-sale is progressing Trolls band together At the same point before release. Partial PLF imprint would also be helpful.
  • Sand Dunes: Part Two It outperformed with its $82.5 million debut last weekend, putting it at the top of expectations. Its great reception and PLF strength should boost its staying power on weekends from here on out, with Rotten Tomatoes critics and audience scores at 93 percent and 95 percent, respectively.
  • Angel Studios returns with another strong pre-seller in Cabrini It should highlight the essence of the distributor's religious audience.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y9Goiz3H7Wk&ab_channel=FilmSpotTrailer

Sand Dunes: Part Two

Warner Bros.

Second weekend range: $40 million – $47 million

Weekend cons:

  • As a 16-year-old franchise that has also appeared in numerous television series and specials, Kung Fu Panda As a brand it's certainly a candidate for some diminishing returns as some of today's kid audiences may not be as familiar with the popular series as those who grew up during the IP's heyday in 2008 and 2011.
  • If there is any caution when evaluating Sand Dunes: Part TwoThe expected staying power, mainly takes the form of over-reliance on adult male audiences (59 percent men and 64 percent over the age of 25 in the opening weekend) and PLF formats (48 percent). The latest statistic could continue to increase demand for the show if mainstream audiences wait for a more ideal way to experience the film.
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Cabrini

Angel Studios

Opening weekend range: $3 million – $6 million

Current projection ranges call for a 7% increase Of the comparable weekend top ten gross of $ 113.4 million in 2023 and 39% It decreases From $198.1 million for 2019 during the same calendar windows.

film studio 3 day weekend forecast Expected domestic gross as of Sunday, March 10 3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Kung Fu Panda 4 Universal Pictures $48,300,000 $48,300,000 new
Sand Dunes: Part Two Warner Bros. Pictures $43,800,000 $152,900,000 -47%
imaginary Lionsgate $10,600,000 $10,600,000 new
Bob Marley: One Love Paramount Pictures $5,800,000 $91,200,000 -22%
Cabrini Angel Studios $5,200,000 $5,200,000 new
Ordinary angels Lionsgate and the Kingdom Story $2,000,000 $16,000,000 -46%
Madame Web Sony and Columbia Pictures $1,800,000 $43,200,000 -43%
The Chosen One: Season 4, Episodes 7-8 Understanding events $1,600,000 $7,300,000 -51%
Immigration Global images and lighting $1,500,000 $125,700,000 -40%
Wonka Warner Bros. Pictures $1,000,000 $218,200,000 -41%

All forecasts are subject to review/terminationn prior to the first confirmation of opening previews or Friday estimates from studios or official sources.

Stage numbers are either studio estimates or unofficial forecasts if preceded by “~”.

The table above does not necessarily represent the exact ranking as some studios do not finalize weekend location counts and/or reporting intent of box office returns prior to publication.

© 2024 DreamWorks Animation LLC All rights reserved.