October 5, 2024

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Rumors of an Iranian missile launch raise oil prices

  • West Texas Intermediate crude jumped 3% on Tuesday morning after US intelligence indicated that an Iranian missile strike was imminent.
  • The possibility of an armed conflict between Iran and Israel has raised concerns about the stability of oil supplies from the oil-rich Middle East.
  • According to the White House, the United States actively supports Israel's defense and warns Iran of dire consequences if it carries out an attack.

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Oil prices rose following rumors that Iran is preparing to launch a missile attack on Israel. Reports from American officials indicate that an Iranian missile strike is imminent, which raises the specter of uncertainty in global markets. As of today, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is trading at $70.16 per barrel, up 2.92% (+$1.99), while Brent crude is also seeing big gains, trading at $73.61 per barrel, up 2.66% (+$1.91 ).

The possibility of an armed conflict between Iran and Israel has raised concerns about the stability of oil supplies from the oil-rich Middle East. Market watchers are reacting to the growing risks of supply disruptions, which could intensify if the conflict spreads or targets key infrastructure in oil-producing countries. Iran has significant influence over oil flows in the region, and any escalation in military activity would hamper exports, leading to higher prices.

According to the White House, the United States actively supports Israel's defense and warns Iran of dire consequences if it carries out an attack. Tensions between the two countries escalated in the wake of recent Israeli military operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, raising fears of a broader regional conflict.

Investors and energy analysts are now watching developments closely. Some expect price volatility to continue as geopolitical tensions escalate. If Iran continues the missile attack, oil prices could rise significantly due to potential supply chain disruptions in an already tight market. The Middle East, especially the Persian Gulf, remains critical to global energy supplies, and any major disruption in energy supplies could have far-reaching consequences for global energy markets.

In the short term, market reactions are expected to continue to be volatile as traders respond to new developments in the escalating conflict.

Written by Julian Geiger for Oilprice.com

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